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Experts are predicting interest rate increases

There is a lot of evidence to suggest interest rates are going to be rising sooner rather than later. Facts are a sizable number of expats have already transferred to a fixed rate mortgage deal; we have seen a significant increase in re-mortgaging since the turn of the year.

Base rates may well be on hold at present and mortgage rates are at the lowest they have been for many years. One thing is for sure if the bank base rate rises then mortgage interest rates will very soon follow suit.

A recent survey of expats showed that if this happens over 45% are not prepared for the increase in expenditure. The survey also revealed the majority of people have taken for granted the current low interest rates and that they will remain for a good many years to come. This may well be a very dangerous attitude to adopt as things can change very quickly in the world of finance.

It is widely expected in financial circles that interest rates will start to increase in the not too distant future, keeping this in mind if you are an expat with a mortgage it would be very wise to review it as soon as possible.

The future

With all the above considered it could be a very good time to look more closely at your current mortgage deal. By acting now you could save a great deal of money now and in the future.

Every expat has unique needs and objectives but one thing we all have in common is saving money. If your current mortgage deal has no exit penalty or is coming to the end of its deal period, you may wish to look at a fixed rate deal. There are currently some very advantages rates on offer so now could be a very good time to act.

Can we help?

If you require assistance or would like to talk over your current mortgage, please do call one of our fully qualified advisers and we will be pleased to assist.

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Welcome news for Expats

The BoE also confirmed another £200bn of bond buying under the Quantitative Easing programme.

It will also be extending the term funding scheme, which encourages banks to pass on the benefits of interest rate cuts to companies and households.

A statement from the BoE reads: “At its special meeting on 19 March, the MPC judged that a further package of measures was warranted to meet its statutory objectives.

“It therefore voted unanimously to increase the Bank of England’s holdings of UK government bonds and sterling non-financial investment-grade corporate bonds by £200bn to a total of £645bn, financed by the issuance of central bank reserves, and to reduce Bank Rate by 15 basis points to 0.1%.

“The Committee also voted unanimously that the Bank of England should enlarge the TFSME scheme, financed by the issuance of central bank reserves.” Read more

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Expats face a 2% Stamp duty hike – April 2021

The government has confirmed that expats who buy residential property in England and Northern Ireland will be hit with a new 2% stamp duty surcharge from April 1, 2021.

Chancellor Rishi Sunak confirmed the measure in his first Budget speech in the role, following much speculation about the policy over recent weeks.

Budget documents released today by the government say: “This will help to control house price inflation and to support UK residents to get onto and move up the housing ladder. 

“The money raised from the surcharge will be used to help address rough sleeping.”

Calculations published alongside the policy suggest that officials expect the measure to raise £250m to the Treasury’s coffers during 2020/21, but that the government will lose £355m in revenues the following year, possibly as a result of lower transaction numbers.

But in 2022/23 the government expects to raise £35m followed by £105m and £105m each for 2023/24 and 2024/25.

There was a mixed reaction to the policy from industry commentators.

Just Mortgages national operations director John Phillips says: “A surcharge for foreign buyers of residential property is something I have argued in favour of for a long time, so it would be churlish for me to criticise it. 

“But what is needed alongside that is a reduction in stamp duty elsewhere.

“As the Institute for Fiscal Studies has said, stamp duty is a tax on transactions, pure and simple, which freezes up the market and means people don’t get to live in homes that meet their needs.

“This Budget is being delivered in unexpected and extraordinary circumstances so it is understandable that the chancellor may not see this as a priority. 

“I hope that he will revisit the issue once Covid-19 is under control, in line with the promises previously made by the Prime Minister.”

Knight Frank head of London residential research Tom Bill says: “The introduction of a surcharge for overseas buyers will bring the UK into line with many other global property markets. 

“Attempts to ease affordability pressures in the wider housing market should be welcomed, although the new measure will need to be monitored carefully to ensure there are no unintended consequences, including for the forward-funding of new-build developments. 

“Furthermore, a wider re-think of stamp duty rates is still needed to increase housing market liquidity and maximise any stimulus the government plans to provide to the UK economy.”

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Expats will remain confident after rates remain at 0.75%

The Bank of England kept interest rates steady on Thursday 30/1/2020, saying signs that Britain’s economy had picked up since December’s election, and a more stable global economy, meant more stimulus was not needed now.

Financial markets had seen a 50% chance of a cut, but the Monetary Policy Committee split once again 7-2 in favour of keeping Bank Rate at 0.75%.

Bank of England governor Mark Carney speaks of ‘modest’ economic forecast after the bank surprised many investors by leaving interest rates unchanged at 0.75% in its latest monetary policy decision.

The central bank kept the door open for a move after Governor Mark Carney hands over to his successor, Andrew Bailey, in March.

“Policy may need to reinforce the expected recovery in UK GDP growth should the more positive signals from recent indicators of global and domestic activity not be sustained or should indicators of domestic prices remain relatively weak,” the BoE said in its quarterly Monetary Policy Report.

But if growth picked up as suggested by upbeat business surveys since Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s unexpectedly emphatic Dec. 12 election win, “some modest tightening” of policy might be needed further ahead, the BoE said.

The central bank no longer specified that such tightening would be “limited and gradual”, a long-standing piece of BoE guidance that dated back to a time when a more rapid pace of interest rate increases might have looked likely.

The central bank estimated Britain’s economy did not grow at all in the final three months of 2019, a time of political uncertainty when parliament forced a delay to Brexit and a snap election raised the prospect of a change in government.

This will have a knock-on effect on economic growth for 2020, which the BoE forecasts will be just 0.8% for the year as a whole, the slowest since the financial crisis.

Growth is seen recovering over the year, however, reaching an annual rate of 1.2% by the final quarter of 2020.

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Expats – Impact of Brexit and beyond

If you are expat considering property as an investment in the UK but you live outside of the Country it’s likely you have many concerns, exchange rate fluctuations and Brexit are likely to have a significant impact on your decision.

Future rates of exchange are likely to depend on the kind of exit deal that is negotiated, combined with the currency that you will be using to purchase a property.

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Stepping away from currency and exchange rate fluctuations, it is widely predicted that interest rates may rise at some point. That said, nobody really knows exactly what conditions would have to be met as a result of exiting the EU that would have a direct impact.

We know from experience, immediately after the vote to leave the EU, interest rates were reduced by 0.25%, but whether this would happen again in the event of no-deal, it is unclear.

What is always prudent in such periods of uncertainty is to review your current mortgage rates and consider switching to a fixed rate for a period that is suitable for you.

Use a mortgage calculator to establish what would happen if rates rose/fell and then speak to an independent mortgage consultant to discuss whether it is worth re-mortgaging.

If you are already using a fixed rate mortgage, be aware that most UK banks will let you re-evaluate your fixed term without penalty if you are within three months of the fixed term coming to an end.

Can we assist you?

If you are looking for a new or re-mortgage do get in contact and one of our qualified independent advisers will be happy to help.

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Expats re-mortgage market on the increase

2019 saw the expat re-mortgaging market increase dramatically, often because the mortgage term had come to an end.  The most common reason was switching to a fixed rate deal, with such good rates on offer expats see this as good alternative.

This type of mortgage gives clients certainty about what future payments will be for the period of the fixed term. With predicted unsettled times ahead due to the Brexit talks this type of mortgage could be a wise move indeed. Expats should take time to review their current mortgage deal as many experts are predicting interest rate increases in the near future.

With property prices still increasing expats are also re-mortgaging to release equity that has built up over the years.

Is there a good time to re-mortgage?


Rates are very low at this moment in time and there is a lot of debate to when they will rise again. A lot of industry experts anticipate that they will do mid to late summer this year.

If this is to be the case now could be a very good time to consider a re-mortgage. Brexit is without doubt driving these fears but if your mortgage term has come or is coming to an end do review it as you could be saving yourself a great deal of money.

Mortgages offer much lower interest rates than store and credit cards, so you might wish to take the opportunity of consolidating your debts by using the equity built up. You could well end up paying a lot less each month than you were before by taking this course of action.

As there are many pros and cons to re-mortgaging, all aspects need to be carefully considered and advice should be sought from a professional independent mortgage adviser.

Can we help?

If you require a new or re-mortgage, please do make contact and one of our independent advisers will be happy to assist.

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Exceptional expat activity sees record high applications

Expat first-time buyer activity reached a 2 year high at the end of November last year after soaring more than 40% on the same period in 2018. In October last year alone the expat mortgage industry saw an increase in applications for new mortgages rise by 38%. These figures go to prove that expat’s still see property in the UK as their number one investment, and it is little wonder when you see the growth the market has shown over the last 10 years.

The UK housing market keeps going from strength to strength even with the Brexit setbacks which now seem to be coming to a head. This growth is likely to continue due to the chronic shortage of quality homes for sale. If this continues to be the case in the future property prices will remain high and increase accordingly.

Estate agents around the country are reporting a high demand for low end quality properties with first-time expat buyers being very active. One agent in Sussex said, “We are getting a lot of enquiries from people living abroad (Expats) and they want a property at the low end of the market in good condition”.

The UK property market continues on an upward spiral and offers longer term growth and security. Mortgage lenders are still reducing interest rates to attract new business, so if you are contemplating investing now would seem a good time to buy in the UK.

There is little doubt the attractive mortgage interest rates currently on offer have played a key role in driving these figures. Expat borrowers have taken advantage of the current low rates and used a re-mortgage in particular to their benefit.

Can we assist you?

If you are looking for help with your new or re-mortgage please contact one of our fully qualified independent advisers and they will be happy to guide you.

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Expat mortgage rates hold steady.

Expat mortgage rates have been falling consistently for the past two years or so. Both fixed and tacker interest rates are now at the lowest they have been for a good many years.

The question is for how long?

Expats should be taking advantage of these low rates on offer. It is no secret that interest rates will rise again in the future the question is when. Wise expats who currently have a mortgage on a standard rate should review it sooner rather than later as there are some good fixed deals available.

Many mortgage providers are fighting for new business and this has resulted in the lowest ever fixed rate deals being offered.

If your current deal is coming to an end soon it is strongly recommended to consider a longer-term fixed rate deal.

Figures are showing that fixed rate deals have fallen on average over the last 24 months by 0.5% this is the biggest reduction recorded in recent years.

So, what does this mean for the expat borrower?

Well it means right now is a very good time for new expat investors and existing ones.

New investors have an excellent choice of very competitive products to choose from, both fixed and tracker. 

Existing borrowers should without doubt be very prudent and review their existing contracts on a regular basis. By keeping pace with the current market existing borrows can save thousands of pounds on the remaining term of their mortgage.

Need assistance?

Our independent advisers are confident dealing with all types of expat mortgages, they have vast experience in this area. Please do contact us to discuss your requirements and we will be happy to help.

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Records being broken as Expat lending market continues to grow

The amount of money being lent by banks to expats reached its highest level in the month of November since 2008, data shows. With the buy-to-let market stumbling to get back in gear after recent stamp duty hikes, first-time expat buyers and re-mortgages are now propping up the market. Last month, gross mortgage lending to expats reached record levels and the trend seems to be continuing.

Brexit and the election have without doubt had an effect on the market but enquiries since the election have increased even more.


Overall mortgage lending to expats continues to hold up very well, but we seem to have a twin-track market. A recent weakness in buy-to-let and has been offset by an increase in first-time buyers and re-mortgage lending. But now it seems the buy-to-let market is making a new surge since October 2019.


A continuing acute shortage of homes being offered for sale is one aspect of a broken housing market that looks unlikely to be resolved anytime soon.

Outlook for 2020

The annual growth in mortgage lending was most likely driven by an increase in the number of expats re-mortgaging to better rates, offsetting the impact of a fall in property transactions.

Affordability constraints, caused by increasing house prices, the cost of stamp duty and rising inflation, are still hindering the market by limiting the number of people who can afford a property. This is likely to continue throughout 2020.

Experts within the expat lending community expect the market to remain strong and active especially if Brexit finally reaches a conclusion.

Help required?

If you are looking for a new or re-mortgage, please do make contact and one of our independent advisers will be pleased to help.

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The Tories win and what it means for the expat property market

Property commentators have welcomed the landslide Conservative election victory for bringing the UK closer to ending the Brexit uncertainty that has stifled transactions for so long.

Sterling surged against the dollar and the euro as the outcome of the election became clear and the FTSE 100 began to climb when the market opened.

In the Conservative Party manifesto, Prime Minister Boris Johnson had promised to push ahead with the target of building 300,000 new homes a year by the mid-2020s, reforming leasehold and abolishing Section 21 “no-fault” evictions. Johnson also pledged to encourage a new market in long-term fixed rate mortgages, continue supporting Right to Buy and look for new ways to support home buyers when the Help to Buy scheme comes to an end in 2023.

The result will, for the time being, end the uncertainty of a no-deal Brexit and pave the way for the release of some of the pent-up demand that has built in property markets in recent years. The extent to which this translates into transaction activity in the short-term will depend on the size of the pricing expectation gap between buyers and sellers. Supply is likely to rise as political uncertainty recedes and private and public spending stimulate the UK economy. 

It is good to have certainty and a party with a clear mandate

Although there is talk of a potential extra 3% stamp duty for foreign buyers as detailed in the Conservative manifesto, until that time we will see the property market return to some sort of normality with the uncertainty of Brexit having been mitigated.

Help required

If you are an expat looking for mortgage help please do make contact and one of our fully independent advisers will be happy to assist.